bdfreetuna
New member
Just leaving this here.. the NAM keeps getting better.
edit: 12z run after this not quite as impressive
edit: 12z run after this not quite as impressive
Last edited:
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Holiday week bust???
- Thread starter ss20
- Start date
KustyTheKlown
Well-known member
that's not attributable to this storm. that's a fluke/lake effect/orographic stowe storm. my statement refers to the Thursday storm and I stand by it, but continue to hope for >6", and that the cold burst isn't as extreme as they predict
kingslug
Well-known member
I know.....just happy that its snowing. Here. Once again I'm in the same position as you...leaving the snow to go where its warm and dry.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Here's the ECMWF.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
The real life storm has a greater pcp shield and is tucked a bit further west than the same time GFS model depiction.
This is incremental good news. Though in general it seems the model is doing okay with the storm so far.
View attachment 23005
View attachment 23004
EDIT: Cant seem to get those pics to work
This is incremental good news. Though in general it seems the model is doing okay with the storm so far.
View attachment 23005
View attachment 23004
EDIT: Cant seem to get those pics to work
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Jcb890
Active member
I enjoy reading the posts you guys make about storms, but not going to lie... some of it goes over my head.
PCP shield
12z
18z
PCP shield
12z
18z
Pretty sure PCP shield is precipitation shield (how far out from the storm the precipitation extends)
Z time is what is used for the runs of the models... http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/75/
Jcb890
Active member
Cool, thanks!
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
PCP = precipitation
12z and 18z are simply times in UTC, which are either 4 or 5 hour subtractions for our time zone (it's 5 right now) depending on time of year due to spring-forward & fall-back.
Jcb890
Active member
PCP shield is precipitation shield (how far out from the storm the precipitation extends)
This was the explanation I was looking for. I figured PCP = Precipitation, just wasn't quite sure what a PCP shield is/was.
What does the "z" stand for? Anything in particular interesting or just that 12z or 18z mean the time like you said?
The military assigned a letter to every time zone... Z (aka Zulu) is +0 (aka GMT aka time at Zero meridian)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_military_time_zones
SIKSKIER
New member
Z is Zulu time.Confused now?
Jcb890
Active member
Ah, makes sense I suppose. Thanks for the info gentlemen! I knew about the GMT time zones and different time zones, but didn't know about the military time zones.
kingslug
Well-known member
This site any good: https://www.mountain-forecast.com/pe...forecasts/1339
Jcb890
Active member
Looks interesting... looks like they steal/share some of the same data as this site:
http://www.snow-forecast.com/resorts/Stowe/6day/top
It's pretty good. Don't know what mountain you are looking for but I have found this one much more accurate especailly with the winds. They do not give snow totals. http://www.weather.gov/btv/recreation
I like this for storm total http://www.weather.gov/btv/stormtotalsnow
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
The shame of it is, this storm had such absolutely massive potential, but the path it's on steers the bulk of its' power away from much of ski country.
Smellytele
Well-known member
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
matters what your ski country is.Mine is NH and we are gettin' some at least
Everyone will get "some", and Maine should get hammered good, but what I mean is this is an absolutely massive storm, and it's going to miss out on epicness for almost all of ski country by probably only 100 miles or so. For instance, if NH gets 10", it could have gotten 20".
