4aprice
Well-known member
You know I hope not. Most will hopefully be shopping, watching football, going to holiday parties (like me after skiing Sat). Still too early for most down this way.
Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
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Weekend of December 14th
- Thread starter billski
- Start date
You know I hope not. Most will hopefully be shopping, watching football, going to holiday parties (like me after skiing Sat). Still too early for most down this way.
Alex
Lake Hopatcong, NJ
bigbog
Active member
This stuff is shaping things up nice!
ScottySkis
Well-known member
That make the work day much better.
billski
Active member
BASE BUILDING!!!
WFO Boston
AT
THIS EARLY STAGE THIS SCENARIO WOULD SUGGEST A WINTRY MIX TO RAIN
FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING PVD/BOS CORRIDOR. HOWEVER IF THIS
STORM TRACK VERIFIES SHALLOW COLD AIR WOULD BE DIFFICULT TO SCOUR
OUT ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THUS THERE IS A RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF A WINTRY MIX WELL INLAND...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THIS
SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL HAVE PLENTY OF QPF. NEVERTHELESS THIS
POTENTIAL EVENT IS STILL 4-5 DAYS AWAY SO ITS WAY TOO EARLY TO NAIL
DOWN SPECIFICS. NONETHELESS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER
STORM THIS WEEKEND EXISTS.
albany:
FRI NT-SUN...MODELS ARE CONVERGING AT A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SNOW
AFFECTING MUCH OF THE REGION DURING A PORTION OF THIS TIME
PERIOD..
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ARCTIC AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN SURGE INTO THE
REGION...WITH DAYTIME MAX TEMPS MONDAY EXPECTED TO ONLY REACH THE
TEENS AND 20S...WITH OVERNIGHT MINS FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE AND SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO FOR SUN NT/MON AM.
gray, me wfo
12Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUES TO LOCK IN ON COASTAL STORM FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. EACH CONSECUTIVE RUN APPEARS TO BE COLDER AND
COLDER...WITH ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE KEEPING THE DRY SLOT TO OUR
SOUTH AND JUST OFF THE COAST. THIS SCENARIO WOULD BUMP UP OUR QPF
FROM EARLIER PROJECTIONS. STILL VERY EARLY IN THE GAME HERE...IN
FACT THE EURO RUN KEEPS THE HEAVY SNOW CONFINED TO SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL AREAS...WITH THE NORTH ESCAPING THE MOST PRECIP AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST...THEN EAST...BARELY REACHING
PORTLAND
WFO Boston
AT
THIS EARLY STAGE THIS SCENARIO WOULD SUGGEST A WINTRY MIX TO RAIN
FOR THE COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING PVD/BOS CORRIDOR. HOWEVER IF THIS
STORM TRACK VERIFIES SHALLOW COLD AIR WOULD BE DIFFICULT TO SCOUR
OUT ACROSS THE INTERIOR. THUS THERE IS A RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATION OF A WINTRY MIX WELL INLAND...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THIS
SOUTHERN STREAM SYSTEM WILL HAVE PLENTY OF QPF. NEVERTHELESS THIS
POTENTIAL EVENT IS STILL 4-5 DAYS AWAY SO ITS WAY TOO EARLY TO NAIL
DOWN SPECIFICS. NONETHELESS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT WINTER
STORM THIS WEEKEND EXISTS.
albany:
FRI NT-SUN...MODELS ARE CONVERGING AT A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF SNOW
AFFECTING MUCH OF THE REGION DURING A PORTION OF THIS TIME
PERIOD..
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...ARCTIC AIR WILL ONCE AGAIN SURGE INTO THE
REGION...WITH DAYTIME MAX TEMPS MONDAY EXPECTED TO ONLY REACH THE
TEENS AND 20S...WITH OVERNIGHT MINS FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
ABOVE AND SLIGHTLY BELOW ZERO FOR SUN NT/MON AM.
gray, me wfo
12Z MODEL SUITE CONTINUES TO LOCK IN ON COASTAL STORM FOR SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. EACH CONSECUTIVE RUN APPEARS TO BE COLDER AND
COLDER...WITH ARCTIC AIR IN PLACE KEEPING THE DRY SLOT TO OUR
SOUTH AND JUST OFF THE COAST. THIS SCENARIO WOULD BUMP UP OUR QPF
FROM EARLIER PROJECTIONS. STILL VERY EARLY IN THE GAME HERE...IN
FACT THE EURO RUN KEEPS THE HEAVY SNOW CONFINED TO SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL AREAS...WITH THE NORTH ESCAPING THE MOST PRECIP AS THE
SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST...THEN EAST...BARELY REACHING
PORTLAND
drjeff
Well-known member
I guess I'll be taking my fat skis out of the storage room and clicking into them for the 1st time this season this weekend at Mount Snow 
billski
Active member
I guess I'll be taking my fat skis out of the storage room and clicking into them for the 1st time this season this weekend at Mount Snow
Fat skis? I think you've overdosed on something Dr. J!
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
The Euro model is usually the best at handling northeastern winter storms, and today's 12z run is calling for a major storm, which is why everyone is now all aflutter. That said, some of the smartest mets I follow on FB/Twitter are poo-pooing this storm and think the models are mishandling some energy and WAY overdoing this. Cant wait to see tonight's model runs though - fingers crossed this storm picks up steam.
Huck_It_Baby
Active member
Who do you follow?
Euler
Active member
White Christmas , here we come!
billski
Active member
Don't say I never gave you anything!
Measure is in liquid precip. For this one, I'd use 1" water = 12" snow.
Measure is in liquid precip. For this one, I'd use 1" water = 12" snow.
billski
Active member
GFS, Tuesday Run
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Would you think any less of me if I told you I follow about 8 mets from VA up to NE?
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
00z GFS is out, and it caved to the EURO!!!! 
:beer:
Has BIG inland snowstorm for entire Northeast!!!!
The snow bullseye of this storm for the entire region on this model run is right over......
(hopefully Scotty is sitting down)...............................
Plattekill.
:beer:Has BIG inland snowstorm for entire Northeast!!!!
The snow bullseye of this storm for the entire region on this model run is right over......
(hopefully Scotty is sitting down)...............................
Plattekill.
BenedictGomez
Well-known member
Ran this map and posting it here to give the morning crew some early snow-porn.
Fingers are crossed this doesnt evaporate on future model runs. Will be interesting to see what the 00z Euro says when it comes out in 30 minutes (I'll be sleeping).
Fingers are crossed this doesnt evaporate on future model runs. Will be interesting to see what the 00z Euro says when it comes out in 30 minutes (I'll be sleeping).
ScottySkis
Well-known member
00z GFS is out, and it caved to the EURO!!!!
Has BIG inland snowstorm for entire Northeast!!!!
The snow bullseye of this storm for the entire region on this model run is right over......
(hopefully Scotty is sitting down)...............................
Plattekill.
Lol awesome news.
abc
Well-known member
Savemeasammy
New member
Huck_It_Baby
Active member
I don't judge! I was hoping for some names however so I could follow myself...
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