Possible Nor'easter for 11/27

[JPTracker]

National Weather Service is also forecasting snow for Friday - Sunday

http://www.weather.gov/forecasts/graphical/sectors/northeastWeek.php#tabs

 

[SKIQUATTRO]

will be tracking www.swellinfo.com very closley......water is still nice...prayn' for snow and surf

 

[billski]

National Weather Service is also forecasting snow for Friday - Sunday

http://www.weather.gov/forecasts/graphical/sectors/northeastWeek.php#tabs

JPTRACKER, It's three days before Thanksgiving. YOUR AVATAR IS KILLIN' ME!!!! you're soo cruel....

 

[psyflyer]

November 27-28 Storm Speculation

I read at the jay peak website that their meteorolgist is forecasting potentially foot of snow into Saturday... That would be the perfect way to kick-start the season at Jay! Still early but hopefully it pans out.

 

[Highway Star]

Yawn. Good luck with a snowstorms forecast 5 days out. You could ask those guys what lottery ticket numbers to play and would probably have better luck......

 

[psyflyer]

Yawn. Good luck with a snowstorms forecast 5 days out. You could ask those guys what lottery ticket numbers to play and would probably have better luck......

Given how the season started Ill take anything I can get. My local TV weather guy also said it could sizeable snow-wise, of course he is also mostly wrong on these type of calls...

 

[riverc0il]

I have frequently seen these type of storms rain on everyone and dump on Jay. During the lift serviced season, these are my all time favorite storms because the Jay doubters and nay sayers stick their nose up in the air and everyone else sees rain and no one wants to gamble on a wash out. I have been skunked before with wash outs by far more often than not, Jay lines up just right between the precip and the cold to get the best of both worlds when most other places get rain. I am planning on earned turns at Jay on Saturday for sure.

 

[Johnskiismore]

I have frequently seen these type of storms rain on everyone and dump on Jay. During the lift serviced season, these are my all time favorite storms because the Jay doubters and nay sayers stick their nose up in the air and everyone else sees rain and no one wants to gamble on a wash out. I have been skunked before with wash outs by far more often than not, Jay lines up just right between the precip and the cold to get the best of both worlds when most other places get rain. I am planning on earned turns at Jay on Saturday for sure.

Positive snow vibes for you! Darn it I have to work!

 

[polski]

I know this is still a pretty long way off and for most places any snow would be falling on zero base and all the rest, but I gotta say just reading the NWS BTV forecast discussion -- getting back into that winter weather-watching groove, and seeing beautiful terminology like "EXCELLENT UPSLOPE FLOW CONDITIONS" again -- has me PSYCHED, even if it doesn't pan out into anything immediately skiable.

 

[Masskier]

Area forecast discussion
national weather service burlington vt
652 pm est mon nov 23 2009

lots of things could change between now and then...but with models
in relative agreement confidence is moderate. Looks to be an very
elevational dependent snow event. Ran a few scenarios here to see
what we may get. Attm it looks like the champlain valley may see
between 1/2" to 2"...but you get over 1000ft and we are talking
several inches. Favored high terrain/mountain locations may see
amounts over 10" by saturday night. Obviously this will impact
travellers on saturday and saturday night. We have issued
hazardous wx outlook and tried to highlight this potential.

 

[polski]

ok, my pulse rate just doubled in the time it took me to read Roger Hill's update today re Jay. Again, it's early, snow-starved people are gonna be prone to wishful thinking etc etc etc but when you read a call of possibly > a foot by Sunday and then maybe > another two feet later next week, well, it's time to PAY ATTENTION

 

[wa-loaf]

They are starting to talk about snow down here. Looking good for the hills. Think I need to change ski day from Fri to Sat.

 

[polski]

Scott's on the case, not at FIS yet but SKIVT-L. I won't even repeat the snowfall total he says one model suggests for Jay/Mansfield, just his conclusion: "if some of the latest data is even remotely close to correct we could go from rags to riches in a hurry this weekend."

 

[Bostonian]

NOAA changed their forecast this morning for K-mart... SNOW for saturday with rain/snow changing to snow on Friday... Keeping my fingers and toes crossed.

 

[riverc0il]

Jay is not going to open this weekend (no surprise, not cold enough to make top to bottom snow on the Jet or Haynes) which means it will be a turn earners dream come Saturday/Sunday. Bring it!!

 

[Glenn]

As usual this seaon...this will come down to temps. North of Brattleboro...looks like rain. You head over to Dover/Willmington...different story. I think we'll have a better idea later tomorrow into Turkey Day.

 

[polski]

And now let the whipsawing begin. This a.m. NWS BTV says the latest model runs push the weekend storm farther west over New England, which would mean less precip albeit earlier changeover to snow. And they seem to say next week could be either warm or cold ... I'm not going to post every little twist and turn as we wait for whatever happens to happen; I'll just consider this mental conditioning for the season.

 

[billskis1]

Jay is not going to open this weekend (no surprise, not cold enough to make top to bottom snow on the Jet or Haynes) which means it will be a turn earners dream come Saturday/Sunday. Bring it!!

Lucky dog. Ah to be 100 miles closer and 20 years younger!

 

[drjeff]

And now let the whipsawing begin. This a.m. NWS BTV says the latest model runs push the weekend storm farther west over New England, which would mean less precip albeit earlier changeover to snow. And they seem to say next week could be either warm or cold ... I'm not going to post every little twist and turn as we wait for whatever happens to happen; I'll just consider this mental conditioning for the season.

That's going to be the big issue with this one. Track and how it effects what little cold air is available. Also remember that with this storm that the ocean is still relatively warm, so as the moisture feeds into this storm from the East side of where the low is tracking that it will be adding warmer air into it

This has happened many times over the last few years with "early season" storms, where the models 5+ days out tend to have the system "colder" then what we see happening in reality since the Atlantic tends to act not just as a moisture source, but also a heater right now.

The Good thing though is there finally looks to be a good pool of some COLD air associated with a High Pressure system up in the general Western Part of Hudson Bay that really looks like it wants to make a run for the East Coast and hit the weather roadblock that it often seems like the St. Lawrence Seaway can be. And it appears that the wrap around winds behind this Nor'easter just might be enough to get this pool of cold air FINALLY down here!!

 

[Warp Daddy]

Not too excited bout this only a few POSSIBLE snow showers predicted here along the Canadian border . Sounds more like RAINFLAKES to me . I'm waiting for dumpage not WROD;s