Weekend of December 14th

[WWF-VT]

Gary says the significant moisture is staying south and east of VT but there will be "accumulating" snow Saturday through mid day Sunday. Stay tuned for updates later.

http://www.wcax.com/category/166239/video-landing-page?clipId=9627193&autostart=true

 

[ScottySkis]

Catskills will be epics time.

 

[Huck_It_Baby]

Catskills will be epics time.

Hope you get some pow Scotty!

 

[BenedictGomez]

Yup, that's definitely government work! Who can spot the obvious logical failure? lol

NAM THROUGH MONDAY:

If I had to ignore one right now, I'd ignore the NAM, doesnt get very accurate until the event is a day or 2 out.

There's base enough in northern vermont at upper elevations that I have skied trees already.

Fureelz? That's great news.

 

[moguler6]

Yup, that's definitely government work! Who can spot the obvious logical failure? lol

It's either gonna nuke or do absolutely nothing in NJ.

 

[Quietman]

It's either gonna nuke or do absolutely nothing in NJ.

The last frame shows chance of .25" of ICE accumulation over Jersey

 

[ScottySkis]

Hope you get some pow Scotty!

Thanks Huck. Hopefully you get some to up their.

 

[steamboat1]

Put my snow tires on today.

It will snow.

 

[andrec10]

Weather Channel is saying 8-12!!!

 

[BenedictGomez]

The last frame shows chance of .25" of ICE accumulation over Jersey

Oh, is that what it is? Pic appeared pretty small and I missed it. Those maps are still a complete departure from the reality of how this appears to be shaking out though.

 

[BenedictGomez]

My hope right now is that the 00z dont keep shifting this thing east (or at least not TOO much).

 

[Huck_It_Baby]

Thanks Huck. Hopefully you get some to up their.

Me too but looking better for your neck of the woods. Cats could use it. Sending positive vibes!

 

[Boston Bulldog]

Weather Channel is saying 8-12!!!

I feel like that is a little bit exaggerated, however TWC needs to hype things in order to get their precious ratings.

I personally think 6-10 will fall in the majority of that 8-12 area and a 12 inch jackpot around Nashua.

 

[billski]

This chart doesn't help much, but it sure is purdy!

 

[billski]

This is a computer forecast of precipitation that will fall during the 12 hour period from 7 AM EST through 7 PM EST for one day before the date indicated at the bottom of the map. This is normally the day after tomorrow. Amounts include liquid forms plus the water equivalent (melted amount) of any solid forms. Precipitation is contoured in steps starting with .01 inch, then .10 inch, .25 inch, .50 inch, .75, 1.0 inch and in steps of one inch after that. Areas shown in black have less than .01 inch (usually none) forecast.

 

[billski]

This is a computer forecast of precipitation that falls during the 12 hour period from 7 AM EST through 7 PM EST for one day before the date indicated at the bottom of the map. This is normally three days from today. Amounts include liquid forms plus the water equivalent (melted amount) of any solid forms. Precipitation is contoured in steps starting with .01 inch, then .10 inch, .25 inch, .50 inch, .75, 1.0 inch and in steps of one inch after that. Areas shown in black have less than .01 inch (usually none) forecast.

 

[billski]

I like this one. It's through Christmas. I'll take 1:10", it still looks like a beaut. We'd all have a white xmas if this pans out. But it won't

 

[billski]

GFS

 

[BenedictGomez]

I prefer the Canadian model for this storm........


......because it gives me the most snow!

Wouldnt be the best for ski country though, and it is Christmas, so perhaps I should cheer on the GFS.

 

[Boston Bulldog]

GFS

Bingo, classic coastal right there.

NAM is up to its old tricks. It takes some tropical moisture from the Bahamas and absolutely bombs the low off the Jersey shore. It then looks like its going to cut the low inland, but then it takes it right into the cold dome, which blocks the low and forces it due east from Block Island to Cape Cod. It shoots the canal and becomes an absolute precip bomb, as the tropical moisture picked up the warm sector rides into the commahead and becomes thundersnow. Don't know the precip amts but they are going to be insane.

No way this happens, but a very interesting (and very snowy) solution. I wish the NAM was reliable (It's been all over the place) but since it isn't, I'm going to disregard this past run.